Expect Dovish RBA Statement, Refined Forward Guidance
By Sophia Rodrigues
Published On 05 Nov 2019 , 12:00 AMIt is very unusual for both market and economists to be strongly expecting a particular outcome (hold) for a RBA board meeting when there are strong arguments for both cut and hold. In the end, it is entirely likely the RBA will meet expectations and leave the rate unchanged at 0.75% today. However, it will be "dovish hold" given there are still strong reasons for RBA to lower the cash rate again, and just last week Governor Lowe said the RBA is prepared to ease monpol again if needed. To signal an extended hold, the RBA would have to conclude that lowering the cash rate below 0.75% is not in the collective interest of Australians. I doubt the RBA can make such a conclusion now. So I am expecting a dovish statement and maybe some attempt at refining forward guidance.
LATEST SNIPPETS
Expect Dovish RBA Statement, Refined Forward Guidance
It is very unusual for both market and economists to be strongly expecting a particular outcome (hold) for a RBA boar...
Published on : 05 Nov 2019 , 12:00 AMAustralia: More Reason to Buy vs Rent Dwelling
More reason to buy vs rent? For the first time since at least 2007, gross rental yields for properties in Australia&#...
Published on : 01 Nov 2019 , 12:00 AMWill RBA Debate Further Easing at Nov Meeting?
Even before the RBA Nov board meeting begins, I am curious to find out if there will be a vigorous debate about...
Published on : 30 Oct 2019 , 07:21 AMRBA Should Cut Now to Avoid QE
A few weeks back I wrote an article about how in theory the RBA could avoid QE, but to do so requires continuation of...
Published on : 31 Oct 2019 , 07:15 AMAustralia: Housing Group Numbers Disappoint Most in CPI
The most disappointing numbers in Australia Q3 CPI are the ones for housing group. Rent rose 0.4% y/y (and below 1.0%...
Published on : 30 Oct 2019 , 07:13 AMChallenges of Communication. AOFM Tender Doesn't Sell Fully
Challenges of communication!
This morning a 3-mo Aussie T-note auction received lukewarm response --A$936m...
Published on : 24 Oct 2019 , 07:08 AMRBA Debelle's speech is Dovish
RBA Debelle: Monpol is concerned about aggregate outcomes for inflation and unemployment. In that regard, unemploymen...
Published on : 17 Oct 2019 , 07:07 AMSocial Media Lesson for RBA
A social media lesson for the Reserve Bank of Australia. This morning the RBA posted a tweet about their new $20 note...
Published on : 09 Oct 2019 , 07:00 AMRBA Will Cut Tue But Lowe's Speech Not a Clue
Someone asked me this morning whether a strong clue of RBA rate cut today is the fact that Governor...
Published on : 01 Oct 2019 , 11:26 AMRBA QE Would be About Lowering Exchange Rate
I've spent a bit of time researching whether the RBA will do QE, at what point they will do it, and in what...
Published on : 09 Aug 2019 , 11:19 AM