Big Four Banks Forecast for RBA Cash Rate
By Sophia Rodrigues
Published On 17 Sep 2021 , 10:50 AMBig four banks' forecast for the RBA cash rate:
--ANZ expects first rate hike in 1H of 2024. "Our 'expected value' for the cash rate by early 2023 is above 0.1%, even though our central forecast is that the RBA won’t lift it until the first half of 2024."
--CBA expects rate hike in May 2023. "We retain our call for the RBA to commence normalising the cash rate from May 2023 whilst acknowledging the risks are skewed towards a later date for lift off."
--Westpac expects first hike in 1Q of 2023. Forecast for cash rate is 25bps 1Q 2023, 50bps 2Q 2023 and 75bps 4Q 2023.
--NAB expects first hike in 2024. "We think the first increase in the cash rate target could be 40bps to 0.50%, given the actual cash rate is likely to remain nearer the bottom of the corridor than the official target rate."
LATEST SNIPPETS
Results of RBA's Bond-buying Auction Monday
Results of the RBA's bond-buying auction Monday, consisting of A$1.5 billion under 3-year yield target and A$2.0...
Published on : 09 Nov 2020 , 03:54 PMRBA buying total A$3.5B under 3-yr target, QE
The RBA is buying A$3.5 billion of government bonds today, with A$1.5 billion as part of its 3-year yield target, and...
Published on : 09 Nov 2020 , 11:33 AMHeadline from RBA Nov Statement on MonPol
RBA Not Contemplating Further Reduction In Interest Rates
RBA: Focus Will Be QE Program, Prepared To Buy More...
RBA buying A$2B of Nov 2028-May 2032 at 1st QE
The RBA is buying A$2 billion of November 2028 to May 2032 government bonds (excluding December 2030 bonds) as p...
Published on : 05 Nov 2020 , 11:21 AMRBA re-opening media lockups?
It appears the RBA's media lock-ups will restart from Friday when the Statement on Monetary Policy will be publis...
Published on : 04 Nov 2020 , 04:16 PMHeadlines from RBA Lowe's Speech Tuesday
RBA Lowe: No Change in View Little To Be Gained from Negative Policy Rate
RBA Lowe: Negative Policy Rate Extra...
More Headlines from RBA Policy
Any bond-buying to support 3-yr target would be in addition to A$100B QE
Not expecting to raise cash rate f...
Published on : 03 Nov 2020 , 02:35 PMHeadline from RBA's November MonPol Decision
From the RBA's November Monetary Policy Decision statement:
-Cuts cash rate target to 0.1% from 0.25%
RBA TFF drawdown steady since Sep 30 as bks await rate cut
Total amount drawdown from the RBA's Term Funding Facility has been unchanged for three straight weeks...
Published on : 30 Oct 2020 , 04:13 PMAustralia Note yields continue declining on expectation of 1bp ES rate
Yields fell further to new record lows at the AOFM weekly T-Note tenders as market factors in the possibili...
Published on : 29 Oct 2020 , 10:42 AM