Australia Oct Labor Data Dovish for RBA Dec Meeting

By Sophia Rodrigues

Published On 14 Nov 2019 , 12:00 AM

Australia's unemployment rate rose to 5.3% in October from 5.2%, due to 19,000 fall in employed numbers. This was first fall in employed numbers since May 2018 and only the second drop since Sep 2016. That's how strong the labor market has been in the last three years or should we say five years. It is rare in recent years to see rise in unemployment rate when participation rate declines (66.0% from 66.1%). The last time this happened was in Feb 2018 and before that in May 2014. This is the most worrying bit of the overall weak labor force data for October, and one that would have implications for RBA's Dec cash rate decision.

LATEST SNIPPETS

From RBA's May SOMP Baseline Forecasts

From the RBA’s May Statement on Monetary Policy:

Baseline Scenario:

--GDP growth -8% June 2...

Published on : 08 May 2020 , 11:32 AM
AOFM sells A$1.5B 2023 bond below RBA's 0.25% target

The AOFM has sold A$1.5 billion of 5.5% April 2023 government bond at a weighted average yield of 0.2348%.&...

Published on : 08 May 2020 , 11:05 AM
NZ inflation expectations lowest on record; house price seen -5% in a year.

New Zealand inflation expectations fell to the lowest on record, with one-year consumer price index inflation at 0.74...

Published on : 07 May 2020 , 01:14 PM
RBA buys A$600M of semis

The RBA bought A$600 million of semis via bond-buying auction today within the maturity January 2021 to December 2023...

Published on : 06 May 2020 , 05:07 PM
AOFM sells 2031 bond at weighted avg yield 0.9369%

The AOFM has sold A$2.5 billion of 1.25% June 2031 government bond at a weighted average yield of 0.9369%. ...

Published on : 06 May 2020 , 11:10 AM
RBA buys A$500m govt bonds, mostly Nov 2027

The RBA bought A$500 million of April 2027 to November 2028 government bonds, focusing 65% of the purchase on the Nov...

Published on : 04 May 2020 , 04:19 PM
RBA buying April 2027-Nov 2028 bonds

After pausing on Thursday, the RBA is back to buying government bonds via auction. The RBA is buying A$500 million of...

Published on : 04 May 2020 , 02:44 PM
AOFM's run for strong demand at bond tender continues

The AOFM has sold A$1.5 billion of 3.25% April 2025 government bond at a weighted average yield of 0.3888%. ...

Published on : 04 May 2020 , 11:05 AM
AOFM tenders next week total A$10.5B

The AOFM has announced the following tenders for next week, totaling A$5.5 billion of bonds and A$5.0 billi...

Published on : 01 May 2020 , 12:06 PM
Strong demand for AOFM's 2024 tender; coverage 4.8 times

The AOFM has sold A$3.0 billion of 0.25% November 2024 government bond at a weighted average yield of 0.386...

Published on : 01 May 2020 , 11:06 AM