ANZ No Longer Forecasting RBA Feb Cut

By Sophia Rodrigues

Published On 23 Jan 2020 , 01:37 PM

Economists at ANZ have removed RBA cut in February from their forecast following the strength in employment in November and December that pushed the unemployment rate to 5.1%. They still think the RBA will cut the cash rate again but are currently reviewing the timing. The jobs report makes it difficult to see the RBA easing in February, notwithstanding the short-term hit from the bushfires and the likely downward pressure on near-term growth expectations from the weakness in consumer spending evident in the Q3 GDP data, the economists wrote in a note.  But continued weakness in consumer spending and soft business investment suggest that progress toward lower unemployment will stall at a level that is inconsistent with the RBA achieving its policy objectives, they added.

 

LATEST SNIPPETS

Expect Dovish RBA Statement, Refined Forward Guidance

It is very unusual for both market and economists to be strongly expecting a particular outcome (hold) for a RBA boar...

Published on : 05 Nov 2019 , 12:00 AM
Australia: More Reason to Buy vs Rent Dwelling

More reason to buy vs rent? For the first time since at least 2007, gross rental yields for properties in Australia&#...

Published on : 01 Nov 2019 , 12:00 AM
Will RBA Debate Further Easing at Nov Meeting?

Even before the RBA Nov board meeting begins, I am curious to find out if there will be a vigorous debate about...

Published on : 30 Oct 2019 , 07:21 AM
RBA Should Cut Now to Avoid QE

A few weeks back I wrote an article about how in theory the RBA could avoid QE, but to do so requires continuation of...

Published on : 31 Oct 2019 , 07:15 AM
Australia: Housing Group Numbers Disappoint Most in CPI

The most disappointing numbers in Australia Q3 CPI are the ones for housing group. Rent rose 0.4% y/y (and below 1.0%...

Published on : 30 Oct 2019 , 07:13 AM
Challenges of Communication. AOFM Tender Doesn't Sell Fully

Challenges of communication!

This morning a 3-mo Aussie T-note auction received lukewarm response --A$936m...

Published on : 24 Oct 2019 , 07:08 AM
RBA Debelle's speech is Dovish

RBA Debelle: Monpol is concerned about aggregate outcomes for inflation and unemployment. In that regard, unemploymen...

Published on : 17 Oct 2019 , 07:07 AM
Social Media Lesson for RBA

A social media lesson for the Reserve Bank of Australia. This morning the RBA posted a tweet about their new $20 note...

Published on : 09 Oct 2019 , 07:00 AM
RBA Will Cut Tue But Lowe's Speech Not a Clue

 

Someone asked me this morning whether a strong clue of RBA rate cut today is the fact that Governor...

Published on : 01 Oct 2019 , 11:26 AM
RBA QE Would be About Lowering Exchange Rate

I've spent a bit of time researching whether the RBA will do QE, at what point they will do it, and in what...

Published on : 09 Aug 2019 , 11:19 AM