ANZ economists expect RBA to drop April 2024 target if guidance shifts
By Sophia Rodrigues
Published On 27 Oct 2021 , 09:18 AMEconomists at ANZ Bank expect the RBA to drop the 10bps target on April 2024 bond if it brings forward timing for the first hike. Until that happens, the target on the bond will remain in place, ANZ's head of Australian economics David Plank wrote in a note.
If the RBA continues to see the first move in the cash rate as being in 2024 then the Apr '24 target will remain in place until it effectively 'fades' away, Plank wrote.
If the RBA's expectation about the first hike is brought forward, the target will have to change and the easiest option is to simply drop it, he said.
.
LATEST SNIPPETS
Australia consumer confidence falls to over 4-yr low
Australian consumer confidence fell 2.8% in the week to November 25, to the lowest level in over four years, data fro...
Published on : 26 Nov 2019 , 10:04 AMWestpac economists expect Australia house prices to rise 5% in 2020
Economists at Westpac expect Australia's house price upswing to continue in 2020, rising 5%, but with getting cap...
Published on : 25 Nov 2019 , 11:55 AMMoody's warns profits of big four Australian banks under pressure
Profitability of the big four Australian banks is under pressures from low interest rates amid weak credit growt...
Published on : 25 Nov 2019 , 03:35 PMAustralia Oct Labor Data Dovish for RBA Dec Meeting
Australia's unemployment rate rose to 5.3% in October from 5.2%, due to 19,000 fall in employed numbers. This was...
Published on : 14 Nov 2019 , 12:00 AMWhy RBNZ will Hold OCR at 1%
I am a bit surprised with market reaction to RBNZ's inflation expectations survey yesterday. While I acknowledge...
Published on : 13 Nov 2019 , 12:00 AMMarket Pricing for RBNZ Cut --How Much is "Will do"?
In their markets outlook on Nov 11, economists at BNZ wrote, "RBNZ shouldn’t cut this week but probably wi...
Published on : 13 Nov 2019 , 12:00 AMWhat does RBA's Gentle Turning Point Refer to?
RBA Governor Philip Lowe first referred to gentle turning point at the Parliamentary testimony in August when he said...
Published on : 07 Nov 2019 , 12:00 AMExpect Dovish RBA Statement, Refined Forward Guidance
It is very unusual for both market and economists to be strongly expecting a particular outcome (hold) for a RBA boar...
Published on : 05 Nov 2019 , 12:00 AMAustralia: More Reason to Buy vs Rent Dwelling
More reason to buy vs rent? For the first time since at least 2007, gross rental yields for properties in Australia&#...
Published on : 01 Nov 2019 , 12:00 AMWill RBA Debate Further Easing at Nov Meeting?
Even before the RBA Nov board meeting begins, I am curious to find out if there will be a vigorous debate about...
Published on : 30 Oct 2019 , 07:21 AM