Analysis: RBA Lowe’s Forward Guidance Viewed Through CB-Intel Stories
By Sophia Rodrigues
Published On 08 Jan 2023 , 11:32 PMCB-Intel's last published article reviews RBA's forward guidance through the lens of CB-Intel stories.
I have looked back at all my stories to evaluate my own reporting on the RBA’s three-year yield target and forward guidance. While my articles were never perfect, I repeatedly made the point in several stories that the RBA’s forward guidance was event-based (or outcome-based) and hence conditional on events.
My stories also show that as events, or economic outlook, changed, so did the RBA’s view on when conditions for a rate hike would be met.
The article is published for free here.
LATEST SNIPPETS
RBA Should Cut Now to Avoid QE
A few weeks back I wrote an article about how in theory the RBA could avoid QE, but to do so requires continuation of...
Published on : 31 Oct 2019 , 07:15 AMAustralia: Housing Group Numbers Disappoint Most in CPI
The most disappointing numbers in Australia Q3 CPI are the ones for housing group. Rent rose 0.4% y/y (and below 1.0%...
Published on : 30 Oct 2019 , 07:13 AMChallenges of Communication. AOFM Tender Doesn't Sell Fully
Challenges of communication!
This morning a 3-mo Aussie T-note auction received lukewarm response --A$936m...
Published on : 24 Oct 2019 , 07:08 AMRBA Debelle's speech is Dovish
RBA Debelle: Monpol is concerned about aggregate outcomes for inflation and unemployment. In that regard, unemploymen...
Published on : 17 Oct 2019 , 07:07 AMSocial Media Lesson for RBA
A social media lesson for the Reserve Bank of Australia. This morning the RBA posted a tweet about their new $20 note...
Published on : 09 Oct 2019 , 07:00 AMRBA Will Cut Tue But Lowe's Speech Not a Clue
Someone asked me this morning whether a strong clue of RBA rate cut today is the fact that Governor...
Published on : 01 Oct 2019 , 11:26 AMRBA QE Would be About Lowering Exchange Rate
I've spent a bit of time researching whether the RBA will do QE, at what point they will do it, and in what...
Published on : 09 Aug 2019 , 11:19 AMRBA Won't Give Up on Inflation Target
Few interesting stories 2day about RBA's inflation target. I am finding it hard to believe RBA will give up...
Published on : 25 Jul 2019 , 11:15 AMRBA may Debate 50bps Cut at July meeting
Two weeks ago it seemed RBA would not cut the cash rate in July, let alone lowering it by 50bps. But I did sugge...
Published on : 21 Jun 2019 , 11:13 AMRBA Will Cut Cash Rate Today, Watch Comments on Labor Mkt Capacity
The RBA will cut the cash rate to a new record low at its meeting today and will maintain an easing bias. The market...
Published on : 04 Jun 2019 , 07:33 AM